Underfloor heating market seen topping $7 billion by 2030

The Business Research Company projects the global underfloor heating market will pass $7 billion by 2030, driven by energy-efficiency demand, government incentives and smarter building controls. Western Europe is set to remain the biggest regional market, while the U.S. is expected to lead country-level sales.

Why it matters: - Underfloor heating is gaining share as builders and homeowners look for lower-temperature systems that cut energy use and work with heat pumps and renewable power. - The category is expected to expand steadily through 2030, signaling room for suppliers, installers and building-technology firms. - The market also reflects broader demand for discreet heating, smart controls and low-carbon building upgrades.

What happened: - The Business Research Company published its Underfloor Heating Global Market Report 2026, covering market size, trends and forecasts for 2026-2035. - The report projects the global underfloor heating market will surpass $7 billion by 2030. - The market is forecast to grow at a 6% compound annual growth rate through 2030. - Underfloor heating represents about 8% of the broader specialty devices market, which is expected to reach about $96 billion by 2030. - In the larger electrical and electronics industry, underfloor heating is projected to account for nearly 0.1% of a $5,579 billion market by 2030. - Hydronic underfloor heating is expected to dominate the segment by 2030. - The report places Western Europe as the largest regional market by 2030. - The U.S. is forecast to be the top country market by 2030.

The details: - Hydronic systems are projected to reach 73% of the market, or about $5 billion, by 2030. - Hydronic demand is supported by lower costs for heating large floor areas, compatibility with heat pumps and renewable energy, and consistent temperature control in homes and commercial buildings. - The market also includes electric underfloor heating, as well as installation categories for new construction and retrofits. - Residential, commercial and institutional buildings are the main application areas. - Western Europe is projected to grow from $1.5 billion in 2025 to $2.1 billion in 2030, a 7% CAGR. - Regional growth in Western Europe is tied to energy-efficient building technologies, renovations, stricter energy-performance standards and low-temperature heating demand. - The U.S. market is forecast to rise from $1.3 billion in 2025 to $1.7 billion in 2030, a 4% CAGR. - U.S. growth is supported by premium home construction, discreet heating preferences, smart-home climate control and wider use in residential and commercial buildings. - Danfoss Group held the largest global market share in 2025 at 10% of underfloor heating sales. - Robert Bosch GmbH had 4% of the market in 2025, while Schneider Electric SE held 3%. - Honeywell International Inc., Nexans S.A., Wavin N.V. and nVent Electric plc each held 1%. - Warmup Inc. held 0.5%, and Polypipe Group plc and Emerson Electric Co. each held 0.1%. - The top 10 companies accounted for 23% of total revenue in 2025, showing a moderately fragmented market. - The report says the market’s structure reflects moderate technical complexity, installation expertise and shifting energy regulations. - Key growth drivers include rising demand for energy-efficient heating, supportive government policies and incentives, and residential construction paired with smart-home integration. - The report estimates energy-efficient heating will contribute about 2.0% to annual market growth. - Supportive policy and incentives are expected to add about 1.5% to yearly growth. - Residential construction and smart-home integration are projected to contribute about 1.1% to annual growth. - In February 2026, Schlüter-Systems introduced an 825-foot ditra-heat-e-hk electric heating cable. - The new cable extends the ditra-heat floor warming line and is designed to reduce cable connections, simplify installation and improve layout flexibility in larger spaces. - The report says hydronic and electric systems together are expected to add more than $2 billion in value by 2030. - Hydronic heating is expected to add $1 billion, with similar growth projected for electric heating between 2025 and 2030.

Between the lines: - The market is being pulled by regulation and product design at the same time, which helps explain why both retrofit-friendly products and smart controls are getting attention. - Competition appears to hinge less on raw scale alone and more on distribution, contractor relationships and the ability to package heating with broader building systems. - The continued lead for hydronic systems suggests large-area, lower-carbon heating remains the core commercial opportunity.

What's next: - Market leaders are likely to keep pushing energy-efficient hydronic systems, low-profile renovation products, heat-pump compatibility, smart thermostatic controls and modular installations. - The report expects demand to strengthen as low-carbon building standards, smart buildings and thermal-comfort upgrades spread. - Western Europe and the U.S. are likely to remain the key geographic battlegrounds through 2030.

The bottom line: - Underfloor heating is moving from a niche comfort feature to a mainstream efficiency play, with the strongest growth centered on low-temperature systems, smart controls and retrofit-friendly installations.